The NFL season will officially start Thursday night with a Week 1 rematch from the divisional round of the AFC playoffs as the defending championChiefs will face the Texans. The Chiefs are currently 9.5-point favorites against the Texans. Per BetQLs Line Movement Dashboard, the spread has actually moved slightly in the Texans direction as the Chiefs originally opened as 10-point favorites. The Chiefs are a -450 moneyline favorite and the over/under is set at Ronald Bolanos Jersey 54 points.
BetQLs lists this game asa five-star spread bet and a four-star moneyline bet. Keep reading to find out in which direction the model is leaning.
WEEK 1 PICKS ADVICE: |
All data presented is as of Thursday afternoon. You can track all NFL line movement on BetQLs Line Movement Dashboard.
WEEK 1 STANDARD FANTASY RANKINGS: | | | | Austin Hedges Jersey |
Per , while 60 percent of the tickets have been placed on Chiefs at -9.5, 66 percentof the money is laying with the Chiefs on the spread. While 54 percentof the moneyline tickets have been written for the Chiefs at -450, 76 percentof the money has been wagered on the Chiefs beating Texans. It is surprising to see the sharps and profe sionals more bullish on the Chiefs spread and moneyline than the public considering the recency of the Texans epic meltdown against the Chiefs in the playoffs.
September has historically been a strong month for the Chiefs in the Andy Reid era. The Chiefs are 19-5 in September games since Reid became Kansas Citys head coach. The Chiefs were 13-5 against the spread last season. All the key members of the Chiefs high-powered offense have returned to the team this season, including quarterback Patrick Mahomes, tight end Travis Kelce, and wide receivers Tyreek Hill, and Sammy Watkins.
The Chiefs are 24-7 Tyson Ross Jersey in Mahomes 31 career starts at quarterback. Last season, Mahomes pa sed for 4,031 yards and 26 touchdowns in 14 games while completing 65.9 percentof his pa ses for a pa ser rating of 105.3. In two games against the Texans last season, Mahomes pa sed for 594 yards and eight touchdowns. The Chiefs had the fifth-best offensive pa sing rating in the NFL last season.
MORE TEXANS-CHIEFS: | | |
The Texans are coming off back-to-back AFC South championships, but their team changed dramatically in the offseason. Head coach Bill OBrien a sumed responsibility for the general manager position in January. OBriens most controversial transaction this offseason was trading Pro Bowl wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins to the Cardinals. Hopkins led the Texans last season with 1,165 receiving yards and 104 receptions andaccounted for 28.8 percent of the Texans receiving targets last season.
Quarterback Deshaun Watsons primary David Bednar Jersey targets at receiver will be Will Fuller, Kenny Stills, and the recently acquired Brandin Cooks, who's dealing with a quad injury. The Texans are 27-13 in the 40 career games that Watson has played at quarterback. Watson pa sed for 3,852 yards Manuel Margot Jersey and 26 touchdowns in 15 games last season, completing 67.3 percent of his pa ses. Watson also rushed for 413 yards and seven touchdowns.
The Texans defeated the Chiefs last season at Arrowhead Stadium in their regular-season meeting. However, the Chiefs blew out Houston in their matchup in the AFC divisional round as the Texans infamously surrendered a 24-point first-half lead over the Chiefs. The Texans were 8-9 against the spread last season andfinished the year with the eighth-worst defensive pa sing rating in the NFL.
You can find all updated , lines, and odds at BetQL!
WEEK 1 PPR RANKINGS: | | | | |
BetQLs NFL Model indicates that Fernando Tatis Jr. Jersey laying the 9.5-points with the Chiefs on the spread is a five-star bet (maximum value) for their matchup with the Texans. Although the is almost split in half for this game, the model projects the Chiefs should be an 11.5-point favorite against the Texans. The model also labels the Chiefs -450 moneyline as a four-star bet.
Check out BetQLs NFL Best Bets Dashboard to find out what the algorithm likes for the spread and over/under for every NFL game this weekend., and to see what teams our modelsare on in Week 1!